The over/under win totals for the 23-24 NBA regular season have begun to be posted on gambling sites like FanDuel with the Boston Celtics, Denver Nuggets, Milwaukee Bucks, Phoenix Suns and . Pelicans = 43.5. The Magic restocked through the draft with a pair of first-round picks (Anthony Clark, Jett Howard) while signing Joe Ingles to provide some veteran leadership and three-point prowess. Starting in October again! Atlanta remained quiet in terms of veteran acquisitions this offseason save for a trade for Patty Mills. Teams at the 80th percentile (+1.6) in expected win over-performance (won more games than they should) have gone 12-9-1 (55%) to the over. Copyright 1995 - 2023 It feels like Washingtons floor is pretty high with the number of veterans and the level of talent they have. In terms of new additions, arrivals Taurean Prince, Cam Reddish and Gabe Vincent all have solid resumes and boast plenty of versatility, while the re-signings of Rui Hachimura, DAngelo Russell and Austin Reaves give the Lakers a trio of offensively talented under-30 pieces to complement the efforts of James and Anthony Davis. However, that hasn't stopped the sportsbooks from releasing their initial win totals for the upcoming NBA season. Teams with poor offenses also tend to improve year over year, at least in terms of win total. Meanwhile, one of Charlottes most important offseason additions could well be a player that sat out last season, Miles Bridges, wholl be looking to build on what was a season-best 2021-22 campaign. This year, their 58 wins led the entire league. NBA win total over unders have been posted at top US sportsbooks. 2023 Louisiana Tech Total Wins & Losses Odds - KPLC 7 News Bottom Line: Theres so much uncertainty about the vibes surrounding a really reliable formula at a very high number. I lean over on them and wouldnt be surprised to see them at 40-43 wins in the play-in, but Beal and Porzingis without a third component is just too worrisome to be confident. Former NBA player and longtime NBA assistant, Adrian Griffin, was named the successor back in June. NBA Icons: The Top 10 Greatest Small Forwards of All-Time, 2023 NBA Summer League Winners And Losers: Guards, 2023 NBA Summer League Winners And Losers: Forwards, Greatest NBA Power Forwards Of All Time: Top 10 Rankings, 2023-2024 NBA Futures Bets: Season Win Totals - Central Division, 2023 NBA Summer League Winners And Losers: Centers, Epic NBA Contract Fails: Ranking The NBA's Five Worst Current Contracts, Who's The Greatest Boston Celtic? Detroit Pistons Over/Under Win Total Set For 2023/2024 NBA - YouTube The bottom three teams all have a 14% chance at the top spot. Earlier in the offseason, there were rumors suggesting the Hawks might consider trading De'Andre Hunter and Clint Capela. Not only will I smash the over here, but I will also predict that the Pacers are a play-in team next season. Teams with a win total above 50 are 31-16-1 to the under overall at 64.5% over the last ten seasons. I still think they can get there. NBA over-under win totals: Best bets to make for 2022-23 season - MSN But do they have the initiative to pursue it? Even before the Draymond Green-Jordan Poole saga, there was value on this under. Even with the relatively optimistic outlook, the Knicks continue to linger behind the East's penthouse dwellers from Boston (54.5) and Milwaukee (52.5). A down marker is photographed during the second half of an NCAA college football game between Washington State and Stanford in Pullman, Wash., Saturday, Nov. 16, 2019. The West will see the healthy returns of Kawhi Leonard, Jamal Murray, Anthony Davis, and Williamson. Key Trend: Teams that finished under .500 and have a win total listed above .500 the following season have gone 14-9 to the over (61%) in the last 10 years. The reckless, universal-beef warpath is inseparable from all the championship qualities he brings to the Warriors. Teams that win 55 games vs. a win total below 50 the prior season have gone 7-4 to the under in the last 10 years. Bottom Line: The Pelicans finished just below .500 last year without Williamson. Ayo Dosunmu may make a leap, Coby White may eventually figure it out, and Patrick Williams may be more impactful off the bench. Theyve had seasons with not enough shooting; they have more than enough now. Add in an improved defensive cast with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Bruce Brown, high-upside young guys in Bones Hyland and Zeke Nnaji, and a coach in Michael Malone whose teams have gone over their win total in literally every season except the 2019-20 COVID-interrupted season. This, combined with better health, and added firepower on offense, could allow them to cruise past 51 wins in the regular season. The regular season will start in October. The Wizards had a great start last year, got rattled by the COVID woes everyone went through in December, and then fell apart. Karl-Anthony Towns was hospitalized with illness before the season. The buzz around the Spurs would almost lead one to believe top overall pick Victor Wembanyama was the teams only offseason acquisition, but San Antonio was busy beyond locking in the seemingly cant-miss prospect. Bottom Line: By the end of the year, they might pull themselves out of it and look halfway decent, but you could be scraping for six wins over the last 25-ish games with this number. Youll want to check if a betting app allows for live betting and how user-friendly their live-betting is since that is a very important aspect of betting on the NBA. KD could reverse his trade demand back into effect at any point. (AP Photo/Young Kwak) (APMedia) The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have a rather low over/under for wins this year, at 5.5. And Nikola Vucevic will be 33 years old at the start of the season. Best bets on win total over/unders for all 30 NBA teams - For The Win CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. The defending NBA champs won 53 games in the 2021-2022 regular season but rolled through the playoffs, losing just six total games en route to a fourth championship in seven years. Following the trade, the Celtics have surged up the oddsboard and now stand as the favorites to win the NBA Finals. NBA Team Win Total Odds FAQs Can I bet on NBA team win totals? Does 25 wins get them there? Houstons talent is promising with two top-three picks in Jalen Green and Jabari Smith, and good young talent like Alperen Sengun and Usman Garuba. Depending on the book, youll find a line of 26.5 (juiced) or 27.5. NBA Over Under | NBA Over Under Picks | BetQL A graduate of the University of Windsor with a degree in Sports Studies, Jon enjoys spending time with his dogs when he isn't watching basketball. Our NBA expert breaks down how teams will do in the standings for the regular season with expert advice and picks. Ultimately, Williams is a good coach, but I believe it'll take him at least a season to scale this roster to 11 more wins. Lets just not mess with it. The Raptors may prove to be one of the more difficult teams to get a preseason read on, but one certainty is the loss of Fred VanVleet will leave a void. Reggie Bullocks arrival should also give San Antonios bench some more scoring punch, and the cumulative effect of all the moves has Gregg Popovichs squads projected win total as high as 30.5 in some sportsbooks following last years 22-win tally. Does this number basically expect less than two wins of improvement from adding Jalen Brunson and losing really only Alec Burks and Nerlens Noel? Teams that win more than 68% of their games vs. teams under .500 have gone 65-29-1 to the over in the last 10 seasons. Additionally, it's essential to mention that there's a vig attached to each team total, and this vig can change depending on the betting action and other influencing factors. The hype on Detroit was rising before the preseason arrived. Zion Williamson is back, the floor is a .500 team and Willie Green is a plus-EV coach. Their 51 wins could easily have been 55, and if that were the case, this prop would be higher. And Jarace Walker showed in Summer League that he has all the tools to be effective defensively from day one. If you're considering betting on the Over for the Hawks, this is a number you might want to act on promptly. Bottom Line: I dont think the ceiling for the team provides a lot of separation; this shouldnt be a high-unit play. NBA Playoffs odds Check out NBA Playoffs odds here. Teams with a +1.6 differential or more of overperformance that didnt have a 75th percentile close-game record (the Sixers were 6-6) are 21-10 (67.7%) to the over in the past 10 seasons. Yes, you can expect some regression from DeMar DeRozan. 1 pick? Lets ride with the royalty. No one, save for maybe Karl Malone, has ever won MVP while also taking such a deep reputational hit. Chicago Bulls - UNDER 37.5 Wins (-110 DraftKings). Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. This team is still very good and has a reason to band together with a foxhole mentality. The market did what it does and overreacted to negative momentum. Miami has a lot of downward momentum coming off the Eastern Conference Finals run. 1, 2023. Theyre going for their fifth ring, what do they care about a January game vs. some Eastern Conference under .500 team? And since we're still more. KAT should not call himself the greatest big-man shooter of all time when Dirk Nowitzki exists, but hes got the spot as No. This number is for teams that want to put up a great record. This is a best-bet, but I dont like it as much as the two above. Its assumed Houston will try and win, especially given Silas precarious position, but ultimately if they are still on pace for sub-30 by midseason they will likely actively pivot to a tank again. For more on the Jazz and why its going to be hard for them to tank with this trade market, read the full write-up here. No. The presumptive move of Devin Booker to the role of primary ball handler should be smooth; meanwhile, Phoenix was also very busy with a slew of complementary acquisitions that include the likes of Bol Bol, Keita Bates-Diop, Drew Eubanks, Eric Gordon and Yuta Watanabe, giving Frank Vogels squad one of the deepest rosters in the league. Not to mention Buddy Hield and year-two Bennedict Mathurin remain intact. Rudy Gobert is a one-man top-five defense if hes healthy. Take your shot at picking win totals for all 32 teams for a chance to win up to $10,000! The big question now is whether acquiring Porzingis can finally push the Celtics over the top and propel them to an NBA Championship. I have a contrarian take: It honestly doesnt matter as long as its over 40. Bottom Line: Memphis is due for regression after having a special season where everything went right. Bookmakers determine the total based on factors such as each team's individual roster, offseason transactions, and past performance. Theres good value here for the Bulls to be not bad, a little above average rather than stuck in true mediocrity. With all 82 games being played! For more on the Mavericks, including the case for the over and the under, read our full write-up here. Key Trends: Teams with a total listed 25 wins or fewer have gone over slightly more often (55%) in the last 10 years. Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, he immediately turned his attention to the NBA and College Basketball when he entered the sports betting space. The new high point of 23.5 isnt enough to get me invested on an under, though Id lean that way. How do NBA odds work? So, for example, the Milwaukee Bucks were -5000 to take the Central Division heading into last season. We want to give a shoutout to all ourbest sports betting sitesthat decided to get these odds up early, as there are only a limited number of sports events during the summer, and not many odds to analyze. NBA Playoffs Odds | To Make The Postseason 2024 - The Lines Teams with at least a +3.5 win differential in their actual from their expected mark, with a win total less than 50, are 10-6 to the over (62.5%). Marcus Smart arrived via the same transaction, while Derrick Rose also was brought aboard as depth on a multi-year deal. Its over or nothing. While free agency is still active, and trade talks are ongoing, particularly concerning the Miami Heat, who have been left on read by the Portland Trail Blazers' front office this offseason, there are still many unanswered questions about certain teams' roster constructions. The possibility of a Damian Lillard trade continues to hang over Portland, keeping the Trail Blazers off the board in terms of a projected win total for the moment. Filed under NBA. Teams with a win total that has dropped by more than 10 from the previous season (34 wins for San Antonio last season vs. a 23.5 line) have gone 16-9 to the under (64%), indicating the market is able to accurately assess when a team is aggressively headed in the other direction from being competitive. The Jazz outperformed expectations for a good portion of the 2022-23 regular season and may have arguably pushed themselves into the postseason had Collin Sexton managed to remain healthier. This number is basically in the middle of last seasons win total of 44.5 and their actual wins of 27 differential with a slight lean to the over. The number is simply too low to confidently bet the under. So Im staying away, but the over has value. But there are some key elements here..